This week’s EVA is a continuation of last week’s “Pull It Together” issue. The main idea is to summarize the key factors and forces Evergreen sees impacting the financial markets now and, more importantly, in the future.
Every so often, I like to summarize our “CinemaScope” view of current conditions. Perhaps these days it should be called our “IMAX outlook”, but the point is to try to pull together our big picture perception of the financial and economic landscape.
Momentous Minsky. In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, this newsletter praised an economist who never lived to see the ultimate vindication of his life’s work. His name was Hyman Minsky and as those of you who track the financial markets even casually know, we’re not alone in our fascination with his theories.
Better to be lucky… One of this year’s “Unexpected Outcomes” from our January 20th EVA was that the long-comatose French stock market would be one of the world’s better performers in 2017. My rationale was that, at the time, Francois Fillon, a credible and reform-minded candidate, was leading the polls for president of France. Moreover, considering his flawed and/or relatively obscure opponents, his election looked highly probable.
Dimon Vision. After spending almost four decades in the financial industry, I have many fond memories (along with some of the not-so-fond variety). Among my best are the times when I was privileged to work with Jamie Dimon in the 1990s. These were my—and Jamie’s—Smith Barney years and they were exhilarating.